Bit of controversy in European World Cup qualifying, with the powers that be pulling what looks like a commercially motivated bait and switch with the playoffs.
Here’s what’s happened: The nine European group winners all qualify automatically. So that’s Denmark, Switzerland, Slovakia, Germany, Spain, England, Serbia, Italy, Netherlands all going to South Africa. The eight best second placed teams who qualified for the playoffs (aka Round Two) are: Russia, Greece, Ukraine, France, Slovenia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Portugal, Ireland.
The original FIFA regulations indicate only that:
The 8 best Round One group runners-up will contest Round Two.
The teams will be paired into 4 home-and-away series.
The winners qualify for the FIFA World CupTM
Nowhere does it mention anything about the draw being seeded. But late last month FIFA decided that the draw would in fact be seeded. Because they can.
From the mouth of Sepp Blatter himself:
“We have decided on seeding the teams into two groups of four, taking the FIFA world rankings into account, with the top four in one pot and the others in another pot,”
Which basically ensures the likes of France (massive media market) and Portugal (massive money-pot of a player in Cristiano Roanldo) will not be facing each other in the playoffs and suddenly have a much better theoretical chance of appearing in South Africa.
The draw will take place Monday, October 19th in Zurich, and will be based on the next FIFA World Rankings, which will be released on October 16th. If those rankings are anything like the current ones, then the seeded teams will be: Russia (6th), France (10th), Greece (12th) and Portugal (17th). Those four would be drawn randomly against Ukraine (25th), Ireland (38th), Bosnia-Herzegovina (46th), Slovenia (54th).
FIFA could argue that every other stage of the process (qualification groups, actual World Cup groups) is also done according to ranking, and that they’re just making sure that the best possible teams make it to the World Cup finals.
But… Ireland keeper Shay Given made an excellent point last week, noting that these decisions should be made - and made clear - before the qualifying process begins, rather than on an ad hoc basis:
I think it’s pretty disgusting, to be honest. Before a ball is kicked, these things should be made clear. Now they change it because some of the big nations are struggling. It’s beyond belief, if you ask me.
It’s pretty disgusting because we are a smaller nation and for them to move the goalposts a few weeks before the end of the campaign is pretty poor. The smaller nations should maybe put up more of a fight because it is not fair.’
The upside here is that FIFA’s rankings are not exactly foolproof, and it’s not at all difficult to imagine a team like Ireland or Ukraine beating a team like Portugal or France over two legs come November 14th and 18th.